2025 Masters Predictions, Odds & Betting Preview: Who to Fade, Sleeper Pick?
As one of golf's most iconic traditions, the Masters Tournament offers something rare—lifetime eligibility for former champions. That means anyone who's donned the green jacket can return to Augusta National, and this year's 2025 Masters could feature as many as 20 past winners. Veterans like Phil Mickelson, Sergio Garcia, Bubba Watson, and Adam Scott are among the field, aiming to recapture past glory. Meanwhile, recent champions such as Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama, and Jon Rahm enter as frontrunners.
🎯 Golf Expert Takes a Bold Stance: Fading Rahm
One notable twist heading into the tournament? Timmy Simmons is steering clear of Jon Rahm, despite his 2023 Masters victory and current standing among the betting favorites at +1500. While Simmons acknowledges Rahm's steady performances in recent starts, he's not sold on the value.
"His odds are too short compared to the names I like around him. In short, I'm unwilling to speculate on how he sizes up against the top talent on the PGA Tour at such a short number," Simmons explains.
Rahm's track record in majors since his Masters triumph has been mixed at best. Over his last six major starts, he has as many finishes of 45th or worse as he does top-10s—three each. After winning in 2023, Rahm placed 45th the following year, then missed the cut at the PGA Championship, snapping an 18-major cut streak. A U.S. Open withdrawal and a missed podium at the 2024 Olympics have only added to the turbulence in big events.
⛳ Key 2025 Masters Info
The first major of the year kicks off Thursday, April 10, from Augusta National Golf Club. Last year's champion Scottie Scheffler enters as the +490 favorite, followed closely by Rory McIlroy (+600), who seeks a career Grand Slam. Ludvig Åberg, runner-up in 2024, shares +1500 odds with Rahm. On the opposite end, Phil Mickelson is the ultimate longshot at +20000.
Before locking in your 2025 Masters picks, check out Simmons' insight and best bets—his proven track record speaks for itself.
📈 Simmons' Betting Background
Known for his sharp takes in both DFS and sports betting, Simmons has developed a strong reputation in outright winners and head-to-head matchups. Since the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge, he's posted a 52-37-5 record, earning over 11.67 units—that's a $1,167 profit on $100 bets.
In 2023, Simmons called Wyndham Clark at +7500 to win the Wells Fargo Championship. His debut year on The Early Wedge show saw him hit three outright winners and two first-round leaders within just three months. Followers of his advice have consistently found themselves ahead of the curve.
🏌️♂️ Top Masters Picks for 2025
As previously mentioned, Simmons is avoiding Jon Rahm despite his past success and elite status. The odds, he argues, simply don't justify the risk.
Instead, Collin Morikawa (+1800) has caught Simmons' eye as a strong sleeper pick. The two-time major winner has posted three consecutive top-10 finishes at Augusta National and was just one shot off the lead heading into the final round last year. Though a double-bogey on the ninth derailed his chances, he still managed a T3 finish—the best of his Masters career. He followed that with a fourth-place result at the PGA Championship, and in 2025 he's climbed to fourth in the FedEx Cup standings.
Morikawa's numbers back up his potential. He currently leads the PGA Tour in:
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- 2nd in SG: Total
"I'm really not worried about Morikawa's inability to 'close' as he is continuing to put himself in positions to win. His ball striking has been phenomenal for the last 12 months, and he's shown he can spike with the short game. His Masters history is even better from a metrics standpoint—he's consistently gained across all four strokes gained categories for four straight years," Simmons says.
🧠 Who Else Could Deliver a Big Payday?
So which players should be in your betting pool for the 2025 Masters? And which golfer—at odds longer than 20-1—could deliver a massive payout? Below are the latest 2025 Masters odds
🧾 2025 Masters Odds Snapshot
Golfer | Odds |
---|---|
Scottie Scheffler | +490 |
Rory McIlroy | +600 |
Ludvig Aberg | +1500 |
Jon Rahm | +1500 |
Collin Morikawa | +1700 |
Bryson DeChambeau | +1700 |
Xander Schauffele | +2100 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +2300 |
Justin Thomas | +3000 |
Brooks Koepka | +3100 |
Jordan Spieth | +3200 |
Patrick Cantlay | +3200 |
Tyrrell Hatton | +3300 |
Joaquin Niemann | +3300 |
Shane Lowry | +3800 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +3900 |
Will Zalatoris | +4900 |
Cameron Smith | +5000 |
Tony Finau | +5000 |
Dustin Johnson | +5500 |
Maverick McNealy | +5500 |
Russell Henley | +6000 |
Jason Day | +6000 |
Viktor Hovland | +6500 |
Tom Kim | +6500 |
Sahith Theegala | +7000 |
Akshay Bhatia | +7000 |
Robert MacIntyre | +7000 |
Wyndham Clark | +7500 |
Sungjae Im | +7500 |
Corey Conners | +7500 |
Max Homa | +7500 |
Sam Burns | +7500 |
Matt Fitzpatrick | +8500 |
Cameron Young | +8500 |
Min Woo Lee | +8500 |
Rickie Fowler | +8500 |
Patrick Reed | +9000 |
Sepp Straka | +10000 |
Justin Rose | +10000 |
Max Greyserman | +10000 |
Nicolai Hojgaard | +12000 |
Davis Thompson | +12000 |
Rasmus Hojgaard | +12000 |
Adam Scott | +13000 |
Si Woo Kim | +13000 |
Brian Harman | +13000 |
Taylor Pendrith | +14000 |
Billy Horschel | +15000 |
Thomas Detry | +15000 |
Jake Knapp | +16000 |
Nick Dunlap | +16000 |
Thriston Lawrence | +16000 |
Keegan Bradley | +18000 |
Byeong Hun An | +18000 |
Cameron Davis | +19000 |
Harris English | +19000 |
Phil Mickelson | +20000 |